Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
💼 Volume 94
Losing to a Shower
Somewhere in the last few weeks, we made progress by doing almost nothing!
That sentence should bother you a little, because it bothered us the first time we watched it happen. Everything in a trader’s instinct says the opposite. More trades, more chances. More chances, more winners. More winners, more money. It reads like clean arithmetic. It just happens to be wrong.
The longer you do this, the clearer that gets. Activity and results are not the same thing, and more often than anyone admits, they pull in opposite directions.
We are not asking you to take that on faith. A pair of finance professors once pulled the trading records of more than sixty thousand households at a discount broker and sorted them by a single variable: how much they traded. The busiest fifth, the ones forever in and out, earned around 11 percent a year while the market paid out almost 18. Same market, same window, same information in front of everyone. The only real difference was how often they touched the button. The men, for what it is worth, traded far more than the women and did worse for the effort. One of the field’s sharpest minds, a Nobel winner, later boiled the whole thing down to a line we come back to often: for most people, taking a shower and doing nothing would have beaten acting on the ideas that popped into their heads. The shower. That is the benchmark the average active trader quietly loses to.

So here is what we actually did. We went to cash and cut our activity down close to the bone. Not all the way to zero, we are human, we still float a small feeler now and then to test the water and keep ourselves sharp, and there is plenty about our read lately we intend to fix. But the book has been mostly still.
And what happened to a still book? Nothing. That is exactly the point. With no real positions on, there was nothing to bleed and nothing to sweat.
Then look at what the tape got up to without us. A blue-chip index printed a fresh record and cleared a big round number no one had ever seen it touch, only to hand it back inside a session or two. The loudest, most crowded corner of the market, the one everybody has decided is the entire future, kept getting sold in waves, the chip names cut hard again and again under nothing but the weight of their own expectations. The largest listing in living memory arrived with enormous fanfare and then whipsawed violently in both directions within days. Money slid quietly out of the shiny stories and into the boring ones.
We sat and watched all of it. And here is the odd gift buried in a bad tape: because the indices we measure ourselves against started slipping, the plain act of not playing pushed us ahead of them. We did not out-trade a soul.
Below is the market’s overall quality across the last ten sessions. Not just the indexes: thirty different corners of the market, from indices and sectors to single names and megatrend baskets and everything in between, read for momentum, breadth, intensity, and the rest.
We built it in TradeDeck this week because we wanted to see, mechanically, what we already carry in our heads. Above the dotted line at 70, quality is high enough to trade with confidence. Below it, the odds of putting on a trade with positive expectation drop off fast.
One clean read of the market, over the last two weeks (ten sessions) or the last month (twenty).

This is the part nobody enjoys sitting with, and we will not dress it up. Human wiring reads stillness as falling behind. An empty screen feels like a squandered day. Every fiber wants to earn the seat by putting something on, and that itch, the need to feel productive, is precisely what the numbers above are pricing when they dock the busiest traders the better part of seven points a year. Motion is not progress. Sometimes motion is just the sound of a book bleeding out one small decision at a time.
None of this is a case for falling asleep at the wheel. Cash is a position we are holding on purpose, eyes open, exactly because the read right now is murky. When the tape is this contradictory, when records and reversals swap places by the hour, and leadership can flip inside forty-eight hours, the honest answer is that we cannot see it cleanly yet. There is no shame in that.
The shame is forcing a hand you cannot read and calling it conviction.
So we wait, lighter and steadier than the scoreboard alone would suggest, ready to move with size the moment the picture sharpens. The market will make itself legible again. It always does. Until then, the best trade on our screen is the one we are choosing not to make.
Here’s a look at this week’s market health, with a breakdown of index and sector performance.


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📈 Free Setup: Make It Count
AMPG: AmpliTech Group Inc ⚠️
What they do: A manufacturer of radio frequency and microwave signal processing components
Why watch? Forty-six employees. A $127 million market cap. A headquarters in Hauppauge, New York, that most investors have never heard of. On paper, AmpliTech looks like a company you scroll past without a second thought. Then you read the one sentence that changes everything: it is the only company in the world certified by the O-RAN Testing and Integration Centre to manufacture the 64T Massive MIMO radio for Open RAN 5G networks.
A brief explanation helps here. O-RAN, which stands for Open Radio Access Network, is a relatively new architecture that lets mobile operators mix equipment from different vendors when building 5G infrastructure, rather than being locked into a single supplier like Ericsson or Nokia. That open market creates a real window for specialized manufacturers to sell directly to carriers who previously had no alternative. The 64T Massive MIMO radio is a specific type of antenna system that uses 64 transmitters and 64 receivers simultaneously to dramatically increase network capacity and coverage in dense urban environments. The OTIC certification is the regulatory and technical gate that proves the hardware works within the O-RAN ecosystem. Nobody else has cleared that gate for this specific product, and replicating the certification process would take competitors years, with the clock not starting until they decide to try.
The financial picture has shifted sharply in a short period. Revenue grew 165% in fiscal year 2025, and that momentum carried into Q1 2026 with a further 48.6% increase. Gross margins expanded from 33% to 48% in a single year, meaning gross profit nearly doubled while revenue increased by roughly 50%. The business is not just growing faster. It is keeping significantly more of what it earns.
The letter of intent pipeline is the part of the story that reframes the valuation entirely. The company has disclosed a $40 million LOI already in progress and referenced an additional $70 million LOI on its most recent earnings call. That is $140 million in identified near-term business against a market cap of roughly $127 million. Full-year 2026 revenue guidance stands at $50 million, implying the stock trades at approximately 2.5 times forward sales.
The supplier relationships deserve a separate mention. AmpliTech has already qualified for the procurement chains of Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, and NASA, qualifications that require years of security clearances, technical audits, and product validation at every level. Most companies in this size bracket never get that conversation started. AmpliTech is already supplying products to those programs.
The European opportunity is the catalyst that remains entirely unpriced. European carriers are under regulatory mandate to remove Huawei equipment and transition to Open RAN standards, and Deutsche Telekom, Vodafone, and Orange all need certified hardware to fulfill that mandate. AmpliTech presented directly in front of all three at MWC Barcelona.
The risk is real and worth stating plainly. A 46-person company guiding for $50 million in annual revenue, when Q1 alone produced $5.35 million, means the overwhelming majority of the year needs to arrive in the back half.
On July 7th, the company gave the market a strong signal of confidence. The board authorized a $10 million share buyback program running over the next 24 months, funded entirely from existing cash, and simultaneously terminated its at-the-market equity offering program, which had never even been tapped. Management framed it plainly: the balance sheet, record revenue, and growing order book support continued growth without the need to issue additional shares. For a small cap, closing off the dilution path while opening a buyback is a meaningful capital allocation statement.
Technical Outlook: This is one of the cleanest charts on the entire watchlist right now. Last week showed very tight price action, with the 10 and 20-day EMAs sitting close to the price without acting as resistance, almost forming a triple inside day. The real breakout level is $7.00, though an earlier entry can be anticipated on a break of the daily downtrend line. On the weekly chart, the stock is showing its first bounce off the 10-week moving average, and first bounces off that average are typically bought aggressively.



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