The Golden Bear Capital Manifesto
Our Story, Our Mission, Our Promise.
Read this before you hand your future to someone who doesn’t bleed when they’re wrong.
What’s Broken
Let’s stop pretending. The machine wasn’t built for you.
It keeps you compliant, late, and grateful for leftovers dressed up as “research.”
Glass-tower analysts hand you “ideas” after the move. Banks sell you diversification and call it wisdom. Everyone gets paid whether you win or lose, except you.
They’ve never had to meet payroll on a Friday when the account looks like a bad joke. Never built anything, never carried risk, never walked the floor at 2 a.m. asking themselves if they’re about to lose it all.
They’re playing with house money. You’re playing with your future.
Back in 2008, we launched an e‑commerce company in Italy when “impossible” was the only word we heard. Banks laughed. Suppliers ghosted. We built anyway. Years of grind, then lift‑off—multi‑million revenues, global ops, partnerships everywhere. Nobody believed until it worked. That’s the point. Operators don’t wait for permission.
The traditional financial world runs on permission. We don’t.
You’re Not Crazy: You’re Late On Purpose
How many “exclusive picks” hit your inbox 40% too late?
How many “buy the dip” sermons on names everyone already knows?
How many newsletters repackage an earnings transcript you could’ve read in five minutes?
You’re not the problem. The system is.
Theorists write reports. Operators take risk. We’re operators.
We sold our companies. We could’ve parked cash in ETFs and bragged about “discipline.” We chose to build an edge in the markets with the same intensity we brought to our companies. We manage our own money. We share what we’re actually doing—in real time—with receipts.
That’s why Golden Bear Capital exists.
What We Are (And What We’re Not)
We are not a bedtime‑story Substack.
We are not a content calendar.
We are not here to impress people who’ve never placed a trade with their own capital.
We are an operator’s lens on public markets: real money, real time, full transparency.
What makes us different:
We only write when it matters. No Tuesday filler. If there’s nothing worth saying, we shut up.
We’re entrepreneurs first, traders second. We’ve sat in the CEO chair. We know what real execution looks like—and how to spot it.
We have skin in the game. If we share it, we’re in it. Positions, entries, exits, sizing. No “model portfolio” theater.
Our core philosophy:
Fluid trading. Long when the wind is at our back, short when it’s in our face, flat when the tape is lying. Bias is a luxury we don’t afford.
Low‑risk entries. Define downside first, let upside take care of itself. If risk can’t be made small, we pass.
What We Do
Weekly Watchlist (Freemium) — Every Sunday
We manually scan ~5,000 names and surface ~10 with the best risk‑reward. Technicals plus fundamentals, not one or the other. You start Monday prepared.Deep Dives (Freemium) — Twice a Month (give or take)
Operator’s analysis. Moat, management, incentives, cost structure, unit economics, competitive kill‑shots—the stuff that actually decides outcomes. It’s how we called Nebius (NBIS) at $18: we understood the vision, not just the numbers.The Chat (Paid) — Real Time
No delays, no secrets. What we’re thinking as the market moves. What we buy, what we sell, when and why. Full portfolio recap at the top of each Weekly Watchlist, every week.The GBC Playbook (In Progress) — For Builders
The actual process: our market framework, daily routines, software stack, scans, pattern library, risk rules. Not theory—repeatable mechanics. Teach a person the process, they don’t need the guru.
Free: Weekly Watchlist preview (2-3 names), Deep Dive teasers. We’ll reduce it over time.
Paid: Everything. Full watchlist, complete Deep Dives, real-time Chat, Playbook access. —> 48h Secret Promo here
Proof, The Only Kind That Matters
We don’t sell fantasy. We publish our actions.
Trades, timing, risk, outcomes—good and bad. You see it. You judge it. You learn from it, with us. That’s the deal.
Who This Is For
People who want signal, not noise.
Builders who value an operator’s perspective.
Investors who want complete analysis without burning weekends to get it.
Traders who want to see moves in real time—entries, exits, sizing—no mystery, no lag.
We’re also exploring a short‑form section for timely setups & ideas—too big for chat, not a 10,000‑word deep dive. When it’s ready, you’ll know.
Why We’re Here
Because we remember what it feels like when no one believes, and we know what it takes to prove them wrong.
Because you don’t need a Wall Street badge to find asymmetry, you need a process and the discipline to execute it.
Because “wait for the report” is how you end up last.
We’ve built things. We’ve risked real capital. We’ve won, we’ve lost, we’ve kept going.
Now we’re sharing the work in public.
If you want daily dopamine, this isn’t for you.
If you want an edge, welcome.
The Ask
Subscribe to get the Weekly Watchlist, Deep Dives, and the full GBC experience.
Upgrade for real‑time chat, portfolio transparency, and the Playbook as we publish it.
We’re not here to promise the moon. We’re here to do the work in daylight.
For the next 48 hours only: Secret Promo here
Context matters. Skin in the game matters.
Let’s build something great together.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.