🚀 Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
💼 Volume 86
When Risk Management Kicks You Out Too Early
This week gave us the first meaningful pullback to the 10 EMA, followed almost immediately by a bounce that pushed the price back toward the highs. It happened fast. Arguably too fast.
If we take a step back, history is fairly clear on this. After a move of this magnitude across the indices, a healthy bull trend typically needs time to digest gains. Four to six weeks of consolidation would be a normal reset. What we’ve seen so far barely qualifies. Three days of hesitation is not the same thing.
At the same time, we’re paying close attention to secondary breadth indicators to understand whether the market is preparing for rotation. There are early signs that capital might start flowing into areas that have been largely ignored during the latest leg higher.
The RRG rotation graph attached paints a constructive picture. Technology appears to be taking a breather, while healthcare and energy are stepping into leadership. More importantly, a broad set of sectors is shifting from lagging to improving. That kind of participation is a positive development. It suggests underlying strength is expanding, not contracting. Still, it’s early. Encouraging, but not definitive.
Our watchlist reflects this shift as well. We’re seeing an increasing number of actionable names coming out of the healthcare space, which aligns with what the rotation data is signaling.
Overall, the week was positive, but not without frustration. We were stopped out of MaxLinear (MXL) during what turned out to be a very aggressive shakeout. The entry was well timed on the pullback, risk was managed by moving the stop to breakeven, but Friday’s session forced us out after a sharp intraday drop of roughly ten percent. What followed was a full recovery into the close, with the price finishing near the highs of the day.
In hindsight, dealing with a name that volatile, we probably should have reduced exposure rather than holding a full position. At one point, it represented around fifteen percent of the portfolio. Situations like this are never pleasant, but they come with the territory.
Protecting capital will always take priority over trying to capture every move.
On a more positive note, the final portion of our Arm Holdings (ARM) position has brought us close to a total return of one hundred percent. That makes it the second trade this year to reach that level after Planet Labs (PL).
Alongside this, we continue to work on improving execution. The development of the app is progressing well, and over the coming months, there will be meaningful updates. In parallel, we are building additional studies aimed at systematizing entries and exits as much as possible, intending to maximize returns within our swing trading framework.
It’s an ambitious process, but one that should add significant value over time
Here’s a look at this week’s market health, with a breakdown of index and sector performance.
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BLZE: Backblaze Inc ⚠️
What they do: A cloud storage and data protection company
Why watch? Backblaze is undergoing a quiet but meaningful transformation. The company built its reputation as a straightforward, affordable backup storage solution, but the business is now being re-rated by the market as something more strategically valuable: a supplier to neocloud companies, which are the newer generation of cloud providers competing with Amazon, Microsoft, and Google by offering more flexible and cost-effective infrastructure.
The AI connection is direct and growing. Large language models require enormous quantities of data to function, and that data is increasingly multimodal, meaning it spans text, images, audio, and video rather than just structured files. Backblaze provides the storage layer for that data, and the demand signal is becoming impossible to ignore. The company also benefits from the growing need to offer storage alongside compute, with high-performance flash storage emerging as the preferred solution for the most demanding workloads.
The most recent quarterly results made the AI demand story concrete rather than theoretical. Revenue grew 12% year over year to $38.7 million, beating Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $37.8 million by a three-point margin. More importantly, growth accelerated four percentage points compared to the prior quarter’s 8% pace. Revenue acceleration is one of the clearest signals that a business is gaining genuine momentum, and in this case, the acceleration aligns directly with the company’s increasing exposure to AI-driven storage demand. Even after the post-earnings rally, the valuation remains modest relative to the narrative the company is now able to tell.
Technical Outlook: The earnings gap produced the highest weekly trading volume since the company’s IPO, and the highest single-day volume in over a year. Volume at that scale is not noise. It reflects institutional conviction, and it changes the character of the stock. The stock has now matured 3 weeks of consolidation, staying over the 7.00 key level, and surfing the 10ema with low volume. We just need a clear break over the 8.00 level to start the second leg up.
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