đ Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
đź Volume 71
The Art of the Wait (And Why Youâre Going to Die Anyway)
Letâs be honest about what happened this week. The noise (whatever the hell the headlines were screaming about) faded into the background. The panic sellers wiped the vomit off their chins, looked at the screens, and decided maybe the world wasnât ending after all.
Stocks clawed back, recouping the losses, and everyone patted themselves on the back.
But donât get comfortable.
Hereâs the thing they wonât tell you on CNBC while theyâre flashing green arrows and smiling like sharks: The machine wasnât built for you. It was built to grind you down, to extract your capital and your sanity in equal measure. We are in a volatility grinder now. The easy money? Thatâs gone. Now weâre in the trenches, and the only thing that matters is survival.
You see it all the time. Good operators are getting chewed up not by the market, but by their own wiring. Fear when the floor drops out. Euphoria when the line goes up. Anxiety when the P&L flatlines. Itâs an emotional whirlpool, and if you let it, it will pull you under.
We have to look back to the old guard. Iâm not talking about Buffett or Soros. Iâm talking about Marcus Aurelius. The Stoics. These guys understood that the world is chaotic.
âYou have power over your mind, not outside events. Realize this, and you will find strength.â
Thatâs the trade. Right there. You canât control the Fed. You canât control the algo-sweeps. You canât control whether the market decides to rip your face off at the open. The only thing you control is your process. The only thing you control is how you take the punch.
But letâs go deeper.
Memento Mori.
Remember that you will die.
I want you to really sit with that. It sounds morbid, I know. But in this game, it is the ultimate liberation. When the screen is bleeding red, when your thesis is crumbling, when you feel like absolute sh*t because you missed the move or took the loss, remember that you are dust.
We have one life. Just one. And it is terrifyingly short. Do you really want to spend your limited time on this spinning rock, letting a fluctuating number on a glowing screen dictate your self-worth?
Trading is what we do. It is the craft. We love the action, the puzzle, the fight.
But it is not who we are.
If you let the outcome of a trade bleed into your dinner with your family, or ruin the taste of a good bottle of wine, the market has already beaten you.
Put it in perspective. You are going to die. The market will be here long after youâre gone, blinking and flashing for the next generation of suckers.
So relax. Take a breath. Detach.
Now, letâs look at the board.
We started this intro with philosophy because, frankly, the tape this week was a mess.
We opened a position, but for the most part? We stayed flat. We sat on our hands.
Friday was a masterclass in illusion. You saw the heavy lifting.
The âBig Boysâ (Netflix, Microsoft, the generals of this army) held the line. They dragged the indices higher. Thatâs important. It keeps the dream alive for next week. But look under the hood.
Our watchlist is thin. We are scanning thousands of charts, looking for that perfect setup, that moment where the probability tilts in our favor, and weâre coming up empty. Itâs harder and harder to find good names.
So, what do we do? We wait.
Earnings season is coming down the pipe like a freight train, and thatâs going to be the next key pivot.
Until then, pour a drink. Hug your kids. Remember Memento Mori. And be ready to react when the bell rings.
Latest articles:
Each stock carries a risk badge: â ď¸ High | đ Medium | đĄď¸ Low.
Based on volatility, float, technicals, and fundamentals. Size your positions accordingly.
đ Free Setup: Make It Count
EAT: Brinker International IncđĄď¸
What they do: A restaurant operator managing casual dining brands
Why watch? Brinker has executed an exceptional turnaround of its Chiliâs brand, making it one of the top-performing restaurant concepts in the industry over the past two years. However, concerns about the sustainability of restaurant spending and margin pressure due to ongoing consumer affordability challenges have weighed on the sector and EAT shares. The challenge is clear: consumers are pulling back and becoming more selective with discretionary spending. Restaurants have partially offset declining traffic by raising prices, but this strategy has limits. One positive development is that restaurant input costs appear to be easing. Higher beef prices have been a particular source of margin pressure, but we believe the worst is behind us. The Administrationâs elimination of tariffs on Brazilian beef and increased imports from Argentina should expand supply and alleviate pricing pressure. While Chiliâs is performing exceptionally well, the Maggianoâs brand is in the early stages of its own turnaround, implementing a playbook similar to what succeeded at Chiliâs, including a revamped menu refocused on classic dishes, investments in improved service, and restaurant refurbishments. Brinker generated $72 million of free cash flow, even with $47 million in seasonal working capital headwinds. Importantly, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with just $526 million in long-term debt and finance leases, translating to less than 1x debt-to-EBITDA leverage.
Technical Outlook: The stock has already delivered an impressive 60% gain from its recent bottom. After breaking above the $155.00 level (a move we unfortunately missed), the stock tested this same level last week and found support at the 10-day exponential moving average, now forming a tight flag pattern. With a stop-loss positioned below the 20-day exponential moving average, the stock offers an attractive risk-reward setup in a beaten-down sector, and EAT appears to be the clear leader. If the consolidation resolves to the upside, the next leg higher could be significant.
Why We Donât Wait for Sunday
Markets donât move on your schedule. The best low-risk entries donât announce themselves politely and wait for the weekend newsletter.
They show up when they show up. And if youâre not positioned, you miss them.
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