About the work
behind the research.
Golden Bear Capital is an independent equity-research, software and education project. We publish the reasoning we use while trading and investing our own capital. We do not manage third-party money and we do not provide personalised investment advice.
WHO PUBLISHES THIS SITE
The articles and tools on this domain are published by the Golden Bear Capital research team. Our work covers US equities, market breadth, sector rotation, company catalysts, technical structure and risk management. The complete publication and subscriber service operates at newsletter.gb.capital; this site provides the permanent company hub and research archive.
Our public contact for editorial questions, corrections, privacy and commercial enquiries is invest@gb.capital.
HOW WE ANALYSE AN IDEA
Market
We begin with indices, breadth, liquidity and sector rotation before assessing an individual security.
Catalyst
We identify what changed and why the market may care now: results, guidance, contracts, management, regulation or capital flows.
Probability
We compare the narrative with measurable behaviour, including prior setups, volatility, liquidity and asymmetry.
Exit
Risk and invalidation are defined before an entry. A compelling company is not automatically a compelling trade at every price.
EDITORIAL STANDARDS
Sources
Company filings, investor-relations material, earnings releases and calls, official statistics and first-party product information are preferred for factual claims. Market-data and chart providers are identified where relevant.
Fact vs view
Reported facts, our interpretation and the trading setup are treated as different layers. Forecasts and scenarios are opinions, not certainties.
Dates
Research is time-sensitive. Every archive page shows its original publication date; a material editorial update is reflected in the page’s modified date.
Commercial links
Links that may generate compensation are technically labelled as sponsored. A commercial relationship does not change our responsibility to distinguish evidence from opinion.
POSITIONS AND CONFLICTS
Members of the research team trade their own capital and may hold, open or close positions in securities discussed. Relevant position disclosures are made in the applicable publication when appropriate. Prices and positions can change after publication.
Nothing on this site is a personalised recommendation, solicitation or offer of investment services. Readers remain responsible for their own decisions and should read the risk disclosure and legal notice.
CORRECTIONS AND CONTACT
If a material factual error is confirmed, we correct it and update the modified date. To report an error, include the page URL, the passage concerned and a source supporting the correction. Write to invest@gb.capital.
Research can be careful and still be wrong. Markets incorporate new information continuously; an analysis describes the evidence and judgement available at a particular time.