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Weeks That Take Skin
It was the kind of week that makes you talk to screens. Not prayers, bargains.
We spent most of it hunched over prices like mechanics over a stubborn engine, dayâtrading a couple of names just to drag Friday into the green by its collar. Nothing humiliates quite like survival mode. Youâre not building, youâre just bailing.
Trust? Thin. We donât trust this market, and the market knows it.
Weâre moving super cautiously, the way you walk across black ice pretending youâre not. Our job is simple and ugly: participate until the gauges light up red, and then breathe, regroup, sharpen. Not before. Not after. When Energy and Utilities are wearing the relativeâstrength crown, you donât whine that the party feels off; you pat your pockets, keep your shoes on, and stay near the door.
The portfolio shifted hard. We raised both CRWV and ENPH to breakâeven stops and got tossed. Right call. Theyâd been loitering, doing nothing but charging rent on our attention. No harm, no shame. The best trades make you feel clever; the right trades often make you feel nothing.
ATAI gave us a head rush: up more than 35% in a blink. We sold 30% into strength like adults and welded the stop to break even. Maybe it holds, maybe it doesnât. The companyâs interesting, the tape says biotechâs one of the few industries not lying to itself. Hope is not a thesis. A stop is.
OKLO: We sang our last note on Friday. Seventyâfive percent in short order. You donât complain about a win like that. You log it, nod once, and refuse the victory lap. Recent best, yes. Proof of immortality, no.
Then thereâs CROX. Fridayâs HeyDude x Sydney Sweeney splash hit, and we slid in, not because celebrity endorsements save souls, but because the risk/reward answered without stuttering. Solid company, heavy shelf of support at 74â75, a clean break of the recent daily downtrend, and volume almost doubled. We took it with a wide stop and a smaller size; this isnât a twoâday fling if itâs going to matter.
LTRX is the bruise you keep pressing. We bought the breakout that never arrived. The stockâs pacing a channel like a caged cat; our thesis dies if it slips the lower rail, and weâre already hearing the lock rattle. We gave it room on purpose, not out of mercy. The room is expensive. So is denial.
Macro mood music: VIX down, T2118 down, T2108 ticking up. The marketâs bouncing. In two weeks, weâll learn if this is a deadâcat hop into a lower high or the coiling that slings us to fresh records.
Feels fiftyâfifty: an honest coin flip, the most dangerous odds in trading because they whisper that youâre supposed to guess. We wonât. Weâll react.
Thatâs the whole blueprint, unromantic and true:
Respect the drift even when it insults you.
Sell into strength because gravity is patient.
Put the stop where your thesis ends, not where your feelings begin.
Trade whatâs in front of you, not the story you wanted.
Weâll show up again on Monday with knuckles uncurled and rules intact. If the bounce grows teeth, weâll feed it. If it rolls under and shows belly, weâll cut the risk and let it play dead without us.
Either way, no speeches, no hero shots. Just the work, done tight, while the market decides whether this was the week it took skin or the week it taught us how to keep it.
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VOYG: Voyager Technologies Inc â ď¸
What they do: A space technology company dedicated to building a vertically integrated, publicly traded enterprise focused on the commercialization of space.
Why watch? đ°ď¸ As a recent IPO in the hot aerospace sector, VOYG is positioned to capitalize on tailwinds from national security spending and the commercialization of low Earth orbit. Its majority stake in the Starlab joint venture, backed by a $217.5 million NASA grant, de-risks the story and positions VOYG as a future âlandlordâ in space. After forming a triple bottom at the $28.00 level, the stock offers a compelling low-risk entry for a potential bounce toward the $45.00-$50.00 zone.
MDB: MongoDB Inc đĄď¸
What they do: A leading modern, general-purpose database platform.
Why watch? Following a strong earnings report in early September, the stock has spent the last two weeks in a consolidation phase, finding consistent support at the rising 20-day EMA. Volume has contracted significantly, trading well below its 40-day average, indicating a clear volatility compression on the daily chart. This tightening pattern suggests an imminent move, with the technical posture favoring a resolution to the upside.
AVGO: Broadcom Inc đĄď¸
What they do: A global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies a broad range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions.
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