π Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
πΌ Volume 41: π§© Market Puzzle: Trade Optimism and Credit Downgrade
Portfolio updates and new positions:
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T2118
This week, the T2118 indicator finally reached the danger level, closing Friday at 89.76, just shy of the critical 90.00 mark. We highlighted this development in our Friday morning chat, emphasizing the importance of recognizing how stretched the major indexes have become to the upside. With T2118 at these levels, we anticipate a market pullback starting as soon as Monday. Additionally, the recent US rating downgrade adds another layer of uncertainty, and weβll be closely watching how it impacts stock prices. Our approach isnβt to predict the exact magnitude of the move, but rather to observe the first two trading days of the week to gauge the marketβs direction and adjust accordingly.
For nearly ten days, weβve maintained a conservative stance, perhaps missing a few attractive buys last week, but prioritizing risk management above all else. In line with this, we reduced our positions in Tesla and Coinbase by 50%, while holding onto our starter position in SEZL.
The only significant addition to our long-term portfolio was UNH, where we opted for LEAPS instead of shares. This strategy allows us to define our monetary risk while giving the trade ample time to develop
As always, our chat remains the go-to place for our best trade ideas, daily commentary, and watchlists. If youβd like to access these insights in real time, consider upgrading to a paid membership!
T2108
Much like last week, the T2108 indicator continues to climb, rising from 55.37 to 67.13. While T2108 isnβt as overextended as T2118, this steady increase is worth noting. Historically, T2108 rarely reaches the 80.00 mark, with pullbacks often beginning as the indicator approaches the 70.00β75.00 range. There may still be a bit of room for the market to move higher, but these numbers donβt inspire confidence in initiating new long positions at this stage.
The 4% Bull-Bear IndicatorΒ gave us a strong push on Monday following a significant gap up, but the rest of the week was marked by choppy action. Bulls and bears battled for control, yet neither side emerged decisively, even as the indexes continued to edge higher each day. This ongoing divergence is something to watch closely.
TheΒ 25% Bull-Bear Indicator now shows that bulls have regained control after three months of a dominant bear trend. This shift could significantly impact the market's direction in the coming weeks, possibly after a healthy pullback.
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Each stock on the watchlist will now have aΒ risk grade badgeΒ next to its name, reflecting our assessment based on factors such as volatility, share float, technicals, fundamentals, ADR, and more. This badge is designed to help readers gauge the stock's risk profile, providing valuable context for making informed decisions about approaching it.
High risk: β οΈ
Medium Risk: π
Low Risk: π‘οΈ
πβ¨ Watchlist Essentials: Top Free Picks
CMP: Compass Minerals International π
What they do: Specialty minerals for agriculture, industry, and consumer use
Why watch? π§The stock surged 30% on earnings day and is now overextended near the $20 level. CMP is consolidating on low volume, a constructive sign, but weβd prefer a deeper pullback or a few more days of sideways action to let the 10EMA catch up. The $20 mark is a key resistance level. For traders, patience is warranted: let the setup mature before considering an entry.
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RUN: Sunrun Inc β οΈ
What they do: Residential solar energy solutions.
Why watch? βοΈAfter a nearly 90% surge in just four days, RUN is consolidating above the crucial $12.00 level. The βcupβ is formed; now we need the βhandle.β A couple more days of sideways action or a gentle pullback on light volume would set up a lower-risk entry.
BULL: Webull Corporation β οΈ
What they do: Online brokerage and trading platform
Why watch? πAfter a 700% IPO move, BULL has returned to its starting price. The setup is reminiscent of CRWV before its second leg higher. $13.00 is the key level to reclaim for a new uptrend, but the $10β$11 area (end of the falling wedge) could also offer a tight-stop entry.
TTD: The Trade Desk Inc π
What they do: Digital advertising technology platform
Why watch? πThe Trade Desk delivered strong earnings and gapped higher, now consolidating on very low volume. We like both the technical setup and the companyβs long-term prospects. A few more days of sideways action, letting the 10EMA catch up, could set up a compelling entry.
OS: OneStream Inc π
What they do: Cloud-based financial software
Why watch? π‘ OneStream posted robust revenue growth in its first earnings report. The stock is consolidating just below the $29.00 key level. New IPOs can move fast, OS has already rallied 70% in just 28 trading days. Watch for a breakout.
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ECVT: Ecovyst Inc π
What they do: Advanced materials and catalysts, sulfuric acid regeneration
Why watch? π§ͺEcovyst reported very good Q1 2025 results and reaffirmed 2025 EBITDA guidance. The Advanced Materials & Catalysts segment outperformed, while Ecoservices met expectations despite higher costs and lower sales volume due to planned turnarounds. With major maintenance behind and rising demand for sulfuric acid in mining, ECVT is poised for higher sales. The $7β$7.50 range offers a strong risk/reward, with a cup-and-handle pattern forming just below $7.65. Anticipate higher sales volumes for regeneration services and virgin sulfuric acid in the coming quarters.
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