Market Moves by GBC

Market Moves by GBC

Share this post

Market Moves by GBC
Market Moves by GBC
πŸš€ Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

πŸš€ Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week

πŸ’Ό Volume 41: 🧩 Market Puzzle: Trade Optimism and Credit Downgrade

Golden Bear Capital's avatar
Golden Bear Capital
May 18, 2025
βˆ™ Paid
4

Share this post

Market Moves by GBC
Market Moves by GBC
πŸš€ Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
3
Share

Portfolio updates and new positions:


⚑ AI-optimized, human-verified: Our expert team carefully selected Premium market intelligence from Finchat's data. Explore now β†’


Market Moves by GBC is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

T2118

This week, the T2118 indicator finally reached the danger level, closing Friday at 89.76, just shy of the critical 90.00 mark. We highlighted this development in our Friday morning chat, emphasizing the importance of recognizing how stretched the major indexes have become to the upside. With T2118 at these levels, we anticipate a market pullback starting as soon as Monday. Additionally, the recent US rating downgrade adds another layer of uncertainty, and we’ll be closely watching how it impacts stock prices. Our approach isn’t to predict the exact magnitude of the move, but rather to observe the first two trading days of the week to gauge the market’s direction and adjust accordingly.

For nearly ten days, we’ve maintained a conservative stance, perhaps missing a few attractive buys last week, but prioritizing risk management above all else. In line with this, we reduced our positions in Tesla and Coinbase by 50%, while holding onto our starter position in SEZL.

The only significant addition to our long-term portfolio was UNH, where we opted for LEAPS instead of shares. This strategy allows us to define our monetary risk while giving the trade ample time to develop

As always, our chat remains the go-to place for our best trade ideas, daily commentary, and watchlists. If you’d like to access these insights in real time, consider upgrading to a paid membership!

User's avatar
Join Golden Bear Capital’s subscriber chat
Available in the Substack app and on web


T2108

Much like last week, the T2108 indicator continues to climb, rising from 55.37 to 67.13. While T2108 isn’t as overextended as T2118, this steady increase is worth noting. Historically, T2108 rarely reaches the 80.00 mark, with pullbacks often beginning as the indicator approaches the 70.00–75.00 range. There may still be a bit of room for the market to move higher, but these numbers don’t inspire confidence in initiating new long positions at this stage.

  • The 4% Bull-Bear IndicatorΒ gave us a strong push on Monday following a significant gap up, but the rest of the week was marked by choppy action. Bulls and bears battled for control, yet neither side emerged decisively, even as the indexes continued to edge higher each day. This ongoing divergence is something to watch closely.

  • TheΒ 25% Bull-Bear Indicator now shows that bulls have regained control after three months of a dominant bear trend. This shift could significantly impact the market's direction in the coming weeks, possibly after a healthy pullback.


Latest articles:

  • 40. Weekly Market Recap: Key Movements & Insights

  • πŸŽͺThe Money Circus Report #3

  • Equity X-Ray: In-Depth Research #17


🌱 Support Our Work: Buy Us a Coffee or Shop Our Services! 🌱
Your small gesture fuels our big dreams. Click below to make a difference today.

[β˜• Buy Us a Coffee]
[πŸ›’ Visit Our Shop]

Each stock on the watchlist will now have aΒ risk grade badgeΒ next to its name, reflecting our assessment based on factors such as volatility, share float, technicals, fundamentals, ADR, and more. This badge is designed to help readers gauge the stock's risk profile, providing valuable context for making informed decisions about approaching it.

High risk: ⚠️

Medium Risk: πŸ“Š

Low Risk: πŸ›‘οΈ


πŸ†“βœ¨ Watchlist Essentials: Top Free Picks

CMP: Compass Minerals International πŸ“Š

What they do: Specialty minerals for agriculture, industry, and consumer use
Why watch? πŸ§‚The stock surged 30% on earnings day and is now overextended near the $20 level. CMP is consolidating on low volume, a constructive sign, but we’d prefer a deeper pullback or a few more days of sideways action to let the 10EMA catch up. The $20 mark is a key resistance level. For traders, patience is warranted: let the setup mature before considering an entry.

Put the market on autopilot, experience the Best Platform with TC2000
Explore now β†’

RUN: Sunrun Inc ⚠️

What they do: Residential solar energy solutions.
Why watch? β˜€οΈAfter a nearly 90% surge in just four days, RUN is consolidating above the crucial $12.00 level. The β€œcup” is formed; now we need the β€œhandle.” A couple more days of sideways action or a gentle pullback on light volume would set up a lower-risk entry.

BULL: Webull Corporation ⚠️

What they do: Online brokerage and trading platform
Why watch? πŸ‚After a 700% IPO move, BULL has returned to its starting price. The setup is reminiscent of CRWV before its second leg higher. $13.00 is the key level to reclaim for a new uptrend, but the $10–$11 area (end of the falling wedge) could also offer a tight-stop entry.

TTD: The Trade Desk Inc πŸ“Š

What they do: Digital advertising technology platform
Why watch? πŸ›’The Trade Desk delivered strong earnings and gapped higher, now consolidating on very low volume. We like both the technical setup and the company’s long-term prospects. A few more days of sideways action, letting the 10EMA catch up, could set up a compelling entry.

OS: OneStream Inc πŸ“Š

What they do: Cloud-based financial software
Why watch? πŸ’‘ OneStream posted robust revenue growth in its first earnings report. The stock is consolidating just below the $29.00 key level. New IPOs can move fast, OS has already rallied 70% in just 28 trading days. Watch for a breakout.


πŸ’ŽπŸ“ˆ Watchlist Elite: Premium Market Movers

Each selection undergoes rigorous financial analysis, technical evaluation, and strategic assessment, delivering institutional-grade research.

Every week, we showcase one complete premium analysis at no cost, letting you experience firsthand the depth and quality that sets Elite research apart.

ECVT: Ecovyst Inc πŸ“Š

What they do: Advanced materials and catalysts, sulfuric acid regeneration
Why watch? πŸ§ͺEcovyst reported very good Q1 2025 results and reaffirmed 2025 EBITDA guidance. The Advanced Materials & Catalysts segment outperformed, while Ecoservices met expectations despite higher costs and lower sales volume due to planned turnarounds. With major maintenance behind and rising demand for sulfuric acid in mining, ECVT is poised for higher sales. The $7–$7.50 range offers a strong risk/reward, with a cup-and-handle pattern forming just below $7.65. Anticipate higher sales volumes for regeneration services and virgin sulfuric acid in the coming quarters.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Market Moves by GBC to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
Β© 2025 Golden Bear Capital
Privacy βˆ™ Terms βˆ™ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More