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Wall Street Radar Vol. 27: Stocks to Watch

Volume 27: Puzzle Pieces: Trade, Inflation, and the Fed’s Next Move

Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week · Volume 27: Puzzle Pieces: Trade, Inflation, and the Fed’s Next Move — Golden Bear Capital research

U.S. equities declined Friday as investors digested a wave of market-moving developments tied to trade policy and inflation dynamics.

Major benchmarks retreated during the session following reports that former President Donald Trump proposed implementing reciprocal tariffs on key trading partners. Earlier losses were triggered by economic data revealing a jump in consumers' near-term inflation expectations, which overshadowed a softer job market reading. Analysts noted the mixed signals could reinforce the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate adjustments.

Market participants are bracing for another week of heightened volatility, warranting a disciplined approach to portfolio management. Our strategy remained selective this week, with just one new position added, reflecting the challenging tape conditions. While opportunities such as BBAI were identified on our radar, execution proved difficult amid erratic price action. The current environment continues to favor high-conviction, fundamentally driven trades, as indiscriminate momentum plays struggle to sustain traction. Risk management remains paramount until clearer trends emerge.

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T2118

The T2108 market breadth indicator has formed a concerning double-top pattern at 70.92, surpassing the critical 70 threshold that has historically marked short-term exhaustion in equity rallies.

Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has climbed to 16.54 while carving a pattern of higher lows since January—a stealthy buildup of risk aversion that contrasts with the S&P 500's sideways grind. This divergence implies that options traders are increasingly hedging against geopolitical shocks, particularly with former President Trump's aggressive tariff policies.

The VIX's persistent bid since its 12.45 January trough now positions it to test the psychologically significant 20 level if trade war rhetoric intensifies or growth data disappoints.

T2108

The T2108 market breadth indicator has entered a consolidation phase above the 40.00 support level, currently at 46.88, after forming a triple-top pattern. While the indicator remains far from overbought territory (below the critical 70 threshold), this repeated failure to sustain upward momentum suggests bullish fatigue—particularly when analyzed alongside the T2118's double-top formation at elevated levels. The current test of the 10-day exponential moving average (10EMA) raises mean-reversion risks, as breakdowns below this dynamic support have historically preceded 2-3% index retracements during similar technical setups.

Market internals reveal a split personality:

  • The 4% Bull-Bear Indicator has become noise, oscillating without clear directional bias

  • The 25% Bull-Bear Indicator has rolled over from positive to negative territory

Portfolio updates and new positions:

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Each stock on the watchlist will now have a risk grade badge next to its name, reflecting our assessment based on factors such as volatility, share float, technicals, fundamentals, ADR, and more. This badge is designed to help readers gauge the stock's risk profile, providing valuable context for making informed decisions about approaching it.

High risk: ⚠️

Medium Risk: 📊

Low Risk: 🛡️


🆓✨ Watchlist Essentials: Top Free Picks

PSNY: Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC ⚠️
What they do: Electric vehicle manufacturer
Why watch? 🚗 The stock demonstrates remarkable resilience at the critical$1.00 support level, suggesting market sentiment may have fully priced in negative catalysts. Technical analysis indicates a potential trend reversal, with a breakthrough above$1.12 likely to trigger significant upward momentum.

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REBN: Reborn Coffee Inc ⚠️
What they do: Specialty coffee franchise operations
Why watch? ☕ Following the company's landmark U.S. franchisor approval announcement, the stock surged over 200%. Their ambitious expansion plan, targeting 100+ locations within three years, has created substantial market interest. After three unsuccessful attempts to breach the $6.00- $6.30 resistance zone, the stock is now consolidating around $5.00. Current low-volume consolidation suggests the potential for a decisive breakout above $6.00 with additional base-building.

OPCH: Option Care Health 🛡️
What they do: Home infusion healthcare services
Why watch? 🏥 The stock's impressive 30% appreciation over three weeks follows exceptional Q4 2024 financial projections. As America's premier home infusion services provider, they expect Q4 revenue to reach $1.34-1.35 billion, marking a substantial 20% year-over-year increase. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to reach$121.7 million, while full-year 2024 revenue is anticipated to exceed $5 billion. Despite potential headwinds from Stelara pricing adjustments in 2025, the company maintains an optimistic outlook. The announcement of a significant $500 million share buyback program has particularly energized investors. Technically, the stock is showing healthy consolidation below $31.50 on decreasing volume, with the 10-day EMA providing strong support - a classic setup for potential continuation.

DVAX: Dynavax Technologies 📊
What they do: Vaccine development and immunotherapy
Why watch? 🧬 Since October, the stock has maintained a tight trading range between$12-13, demonstrating remarkable price stability. Technical analysis suggests imminent breakout potential above the crucial$13.22 resistance level.

CLDI: Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc ⚠️
What they do: Cancer immunotherapy development
Why watch? 🔬 Following a dramatic 150% surge over four days, the stock shows classic consolidation patterns with declining volume while maintaining support at the 50-day EMA. Additional sideways movement could set up an attractive entry for momentum traders, with $1.40 serving as the key trigger level for potential continuation.

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