26. Weekly Market Recap: Key Movements & Insights
🎯 Stocks Navigate Choppy Waters: Winners & Losers in a Volatile Week 🔄
Markets Rally Despite Early Volatility, Focus Shifts to Inflation Data
The S&P 500 demonstrated resilience this week, closing up 1.2% despite significant volatility. Markets initially tumbled Monday on White House tariff announcements but rebounded sharply after the administration's swift policy reversal. The mid-week rally, supported by generally positive earnings reports, helped offset recent losses though it failed to surpass previous weekly highs. Friday brought renewed pressure as weak employment data and fresh tariff speculation dampened sentiment.
Sector performance revealed a mixed landscape, with non-energy minerals, health technology, and retail trade emerging as leaders. Consumer durables, energy minerals, and distribution services notably underperformed. Oil declined 3.9% in commodities as the administration reinforced commitments to domestic production expansion. Gold continued its impressive run, gaining 2.7% amid ongoing economic uncertainty. The cryptocurrency market remained volatile, with Bitcoin declining 1.5% while alternative cryptocurrencies extended their downward trend.
The broader market narrative reflected a shifting investor focus from geopolitical tensions to corporate performance and economic indicators. Year-to-date, the S&P 500 has maintained a modest 2.7% gain, while gold has surged 8.6%, highlighting persistent investor caution despite overall market stability.
The upcoming week brings crucial economic data and continued earnings releases. Key inflation indicators, including Wednesday's CPI and Thursday's PPI reports, will be closely watched for insights into monetary policy direction
Upcoming Key Events:
Monday, February 10:
Earnings: McDonald’s (MCD)
Economic Data: -
Tuesday, February 11:
Earnings: Coca-Cola (KO), Shopify (SHOP)
Economic Data: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
Wednesday, February 12:
Earnings: Toyota Motor (TM), Novo Nordisk (NVO), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), AppLovin (APP)
Economic Data: CPI, EIA Petroleum Status Report
Thursday, February 13:
Earnings: Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
Economic Data: Jobless Claims, Fed Balance Sheet, PPI Final Demand
Friday, February 14:
Earnings: Hermès International (RMS)
Economic Data: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Import and Export Prices
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Index Insights: How Major Benchmarks Performed Last Week
Price>MA10: 🔴
Price>MA20: 🟢
MA10>MA20: 🟢
Market Trend: 🔴 (When Price and Moving Averages are all green, also the Market Trend will be green and positive)
Trend Signal: 🟢
Price>MA10:🔴
Price>MA20: 🟢
MA10>MA20: 🟢
Market Trend: 🔴
Trend Signal: 🟢
Price>MA10: 🔴
Price>MA20: 🟢
MA10>MA20: 🟢
Market Trend: 🔴
Trend Signal: 🟢
Financial Sector Performance: Winners and Losers from Last Week
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📊 Weekly Market Sector Snapshot: Leaders & Laggards
This week brought another round of mixed-sector performance, with gains in seven of the eleven major segments. Below is a detailed snapshot of how sectors fared, from strongest to weakest:
🛡️ Consumer Defensive (+1.38%)
Consumer goods stocks took the spotlight, combining steady consumer demand with resilience amid uncertainty.
Sector leader: Tobacco
🏗️ Basic Materials (+1.06%)
Basic Materials saw moderate gains, supported by stable industrial demand.
Sector leader: Gold
🏢 Real Estate (+0.96%)
Despite ongoing interest rate questions, Real Estate ended the week in positive territory.
Sector leader: REIT – Residential
💻 Technology (+0.83%)
Technology notched a modest rise, reflecting cautious optimism in software and hardware.
Sector leader: Retail Gaming & Multimedia
⚡ Energy (+0.74%)
Energy inched higher on a slight rebound in oil prices, though concerns over supply remained.
Sector leader: Oil & Gas Midstream
💰 Financial (+0.45%)
Financials posted a mild gain, bolstered by strong balance sheets in banking and capital markets.
Sector leader: Banks - Global
🔌 Utilities (+0.44%)
Utilities edged up as a defensive play, boosted by stable dividend yields.
Sector leader: Independent Power Producers
🏥 Healthcare (-0.34%)
Healthcare dipped fractionally, showing resilience relative to the broader market’s volatility.
Sector leader: Medical Devices
🏭 Industrials (-1.05%)
Industrials struggled to maintain momentum, pressured by global growth uncertainties.
Sector leader: Airlines
🌐 Communication Services (-1.27%)
After leading in previous weeks, Communication Services fell amid competitive concerns in streaming and telecom.
Sector leader: Pay TV
🛍️ Consumer Cyclical (-2.74%)
Consumer discretionary stocks experienced the sharpest drop, reflecting cautious spending outlooks.
Sector leader: Luxury Goods
📉 Summary
Consumer Defensive (+1.38%) and Basic Materials (+1.06%) took top honors this week, maintaining upward momentum. By contrast, Consumer Cyclical (-2.74%) and Communication Services (-1.27%) posted the most significant declines. Overall, seven out of eleven sectors closed in the green, signaling a market still seeking clarity amid rotating leadership.
🌟 🌟 Market Pulse: Tobacco and Copper Dominate Weekly Performance
Tobacco (+7.23%)
Tobacco led the market this week, posting impressive gains amid favorable consumer demand and stable pricing power.
Copper (+6.10%)
Copper saw significant appreciation, driven by strong industrial demand and optimism about infrastructure investments.
Gold (+5.30%)
Gold continued its upward trend as investors sought safe-haven assets amid ongoing market volatility.
Grocery Stores (+5.00%)
Grocery retailers demonstrated robust performance, buoyed by steady consumer spending and in-store traffic.
Health Information Services (+4.23%)
Health IT maintained solid momentum, reflecting consistent demand for cloud-based solutions in the healthcare industry.
Insurance Brokers (+4.23%)
Insurance brokers climbed on healthy underwriting margins and steady premium growth.
Lodging (+4.14%)
Lodging stocks posted a strong week, benefiting from increased travel activity and improving room rates.
Luxury Goods (+4.08%)
Luxury retail advanced, supported by resilient high-end consumer spending, particularly in Asia and Europe.
Discount Stores (+3.68%)
Discount retailers extended gains, showcasing their defensive appeal in an uncertain economic climate.
Semiconductors (+3.22%)
Chipmakers outperformed on expectations of rebounding demand for consumer electronics and data center infrastructure.
🚀 Top Market Gainers: Healthcare, Technology, and Investment Services Lead
IVVD Invivyd Inc (+464.72%
📈 Q4 Outperformance: The stock has surged significantly so far in 2025 due to Q4 2024 net product revenue for PEMGARDA jumping 48% quarter-over-quarter to $13.8 million while operating expenses fell 55% to $32 million. The company ended 2024 with $69.3 million in cash and $10.9 million in accounts receivable.
LTRY Lottery.com Inc (+376.52%)
📊 International Expansion: Announces the launch of international lottery operations, targeting revenue generation by the end of March.
QNTM Quantum Biopharma Ltd (+285.85%)
🔬 Clinical Success: New data from unbuzzd™ confirms dramatically accelerated alcohol metabolism and reduced symptoms of intoxication, impairment, and hangover.
BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings Ltd (+107.79%)
💻 Defense Contract: Awarded a contract by the Department of Defense's Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office to advance its Virtual Anticipation Network prototype.
CPIX Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc (+98.67%)
💊 Duchenne Breakthrough: Candidate demonstrates improved heart function in Duchenne patients suffering from associated heart disease.
🔻 Biggest Decliners: Regulatory Issues and Market Challenges
CSAI Cloudastructure Inc (-78.32%)
📉 New IPO: Shares have tumbled since the $50 opening price, with no notable news contributing to the decline.
FTEL Fitell Corporation (-73.01%)
💰 Dilutive Offering: Announces a $10.0 million registered direct offering, prompting heavy selling as investors weigh potential dilution.
PLRX Pliant Therapeutics Inc (-69.58%)
⚠️ Trial Pause: BEACON-IPF Phase 2b/3 enrollment and dosing stopped following a DSMB recommendation, raising investor concerns.
VLCN Volcon Inc (-54.33%)
📊 Public Offering: Completes a $12.0 million underwritten public offering, leading to near-term dilution fears.
PITA Heramba Electric (-53.52%)
👀 Unclear Catalyst: No official news has emerged, leaving investors uncertain about the reason behind the significant share price drop.
Here are my Jan CPI estimates: https://arkominaresearch.substack.com/p/jan-2025-cpi-estimate?r=1r1n6n