๐ Wall Street Radar: Stocks to Watch Next Week
๐ผ Volume 20: ๐ฆ Fed Signals Fewer Rate Cuts, Markets React with a Slide ๐
The latest market analysis reveals a complex trading environment as we approach the final trading sessions of 2024. Our comprehensive review of technical indicators suggests a critical juncture for investors navigating year-end market dynamics.
The major indexes are experiencing significant downward pressure, with the crucial 50-day moving average emerging as a vital technical threshold. This widely-watched indicator (often referred to as the 50 DMA by traders) serves as a key battleground between bulls and bears, potentially determining the market's near-term direction.
Last Wednesday's sharp decline has introduced a cautionary element into market sentiment. This notable price action warrants careful consideration for portfolio positioning, particularly as we approach the traditional year-end trading period.
Current market conditions reveal a pronounced weakness across multiple sectors, with two notable exceptions:
Technology sector: Maintaining relative strength despite broader market pressure
Consumer cyclical stocks: Demonstrating resilience in a challenging environment
The remaining sectors are exhibiting bearish technical patterns, suggesting a lack of broad-based market participation.
(please check our Market Monitor for additional information)
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T2118
The T2118 index is showing significant oversold conditions, having broken below its 10-day exponential moving average. The current oversold reading suggests a strong potential for a technical bounce in the near term.
Historical context is particularly revealing: While readings under 30 have traditionally indicated oversold conditions, the most compelling buy signals have historically occurred when the T2118 drops below 10.00. Looking at data from 2022 to the present, the index has reached extreme lows in the 7.00-8.00 range, which have consistently preceded significant market bounces and reversions to the mean.
Given this context, traders and investors might consider watching for readings approaching these extreme oversold levels (sub-10.00) as potential entry points, while keeping in mind that markets can remain oversold for extended periods before reversing.
T2108
The T2108 indicator has indeed shown more sensitivity to market conditions, and Friday's signal suggests a potential bounce is already underway. This is particularly significant when viewed alongside the 4% Bull/Bear indicator, which displayed a strong bullish signal with a notable green bar that decisively outnumbered bearish stocks for the day.
The 25% Bull/Bear indicator, while recently turning red, is now showing promising signs of returning to bullish territory. The first trading days of the week will be crucial in determining if bulls can regain control, as this transition period between red and green signals often marks important inflection points.
Portfolio updates and new positions:
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๐ข High-Volatility Thrill Rides
MNMD: Mind Medicine Inc
What they do: Pioneering psychedelic medicine development company.
Why watch? ๐ง Technical analysis reveals a significant cup & handle formation on the weekly timeframe, complemented by a Volume Contraction Pattern (VCP) on the daily chart. A break of key level at $7.50 could trigger momentum. Caution is advised due to the recent volatile price action.
HIMX: Himax Technologies Inc
What they do: Leading semiconductor solutions provider in the AR/VR space.
Why watch? ๐ถ๏ธ Strategic positioning with Google's 6% ownership stake and potential Nvidia partnership for wafer-level optics (WLO) technology. Technical indicators show consolidation along 10 EMA with decreasing volume, suggesting a potential breakout setup.
EHTH: Ehealth Inc
What they do: Digital health insurance marketplace platform.
Why watch? ๐ Bullish guidance update for FY2024 following exceptional Annual Enrollment Period performance. The 65-minute chart displays a robust technical setup. The key breakout level at $8.00 could catalyze the next upward movement pending consolidation.
SWIM: Latham Group
What they do: Pool products manufacturer and distributor.
Why watch? ๐ Critical price action testing $7.00 weekly resistance level. A successful hold above this threshold could initiate new uptrend momentum.
AGFY: Agrify Corporation
What they do: Advanced cultivation solutions provider.
Why watch? ๐ฑ Low float setup with heightened volatility potential. Price action compressed between 10 and 20 EMA with extremely low volume, suggesting imminent movement. Key breakout level at $40.00.
ZSPC: zSpace Inc
What they do: Innovative AR/VR technology solutions provider.
Why watch? ๐ฎ Recent IPO showing promising technical formation with daily hammer pattern and falling wedge. A potential breakout zone between $9-10 could trigger significant momentum.
๐โโ๏ธ Medium-Risk Wave Riders
ASLE: AerSale Corp
What they do: Aviation aftermarket solutions provider.
Why watch? โ๏ธ Compelling technical setup with cup and handle pattern visible on multiple timeframes. The weekly chart shows a bullish SMA10/SMA30 crossover. Critical resistance at $6.30.
ZK: ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holdings Ltd
What they do: Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer.
Why watch? ๐ Poised for potential breakout pending Chinese market recovery. Key level watch at $29-30 for new all-time highs.
ADSE: ADS-TEC Energy PLC
What they do: Advanced EV charging infrastructure solutions.
Why watch? โก Revolutionary battery-buffered charging technology with strategic Porsche partnership. Technical consolidation near the $14.00 resistance level on declining volume.
EMBC: Embecta Corp
What they do: Medical device manufacturer specializing in injection technologies.
Why watch? ๐ Strong fundamental backdrop with impressive earnings growth and debt reduction initiatives. The technical setup suggests a potential breakout above the $20.50-21.00 range.
ZIM: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd
What they do: Global container shipping services provider.
Why watch? ๐ข Undervalued player in the oil and bulk shipping sector. Strong risk/reward setup with critical support at an $18.00 weekly level.
๐ก๏ธ Low-Risk Safe Harbors
ULTA: Ulta Beauty Inc
What they do: Beauty products retailer and salon services provider.
Why watch? ๐ Strong earnings momentum with price consolidation above $420 weekly support, underpinned by rising 10 EMA.
ESTC: Elastic NV
What they do: Enterprise search and observability solutions provider.
Why watch? ๐ Post-earnings consolidation near 20 EMA with a falling wedge pattern. Breakout potential for next upward movement phase.
LULU: Lululemon Athletica Inc
What they do: Athletic apparel retailer.
Why watch? ๐ง Lululemon shares jumped after beating Q3 earnings expectations and raising its full-year outlook. Analysts highlight growth potential in both U.S. and international markets, particularly in China. Descending channel breakout could trigger the next bullish phase.
"Wall Street people learn nothing and forget everything.โ
Benjamin Graham
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.